- Bitcoin holds near $67K as weak sentiment and ETF outflows keep pressure on market direction.
- Analyst Willy Woo says rising volatility shows Bitcoin’s bear trend is strengthening further.
- Woo warns the market nears phase two, where broader risk-asset weakness may deepen declines.
Bitcoin traded in a tight and uneven range near the $67,000 to $70,000 zone as weak market sentiment and steady ETF outflows weighed on price action. Investors faced pressure from liquidity concerns and ongoing selling by large holders that continued to resist any sustained recovery attempt.
The market showed no clear direction. Price swings stayed narrow, and each rebound attempt faded quickly. Traders noted that selling pressure remained active across major spot and derivatives venues.
On-chain analyst Willy Woo issued a direct warning to Bitcoin holders. He said the current bear trend has not eased. He added that conditions now show stronger downside signals than earlier in the cycle.
Volatility Spike Signals Deeper Bitcoin Bear Phase
Woo pointed to rising volatility. He said traders often use volatility spikes to determine trend direction. He explained that the latest increase shows a deeper bearish phase rather than a normal pullback.
Woo stated that the bear market began when volatility climbed sharply. He noted that continued volatility gains often indicate strengthening downside momentum. He said the trend weakens only when volatility reaches its peak late in the bear cycle.
I have BAD NEWS for the perma bulls.
— Willy Woo (@willywoo) February 18, 2026
BTC is still strengthening its bear trend.
Volatility is a key metric used by quants to detect trends.
BTC entered its bear market when vol spiked upwards quickly. Vol then continues to climb, meaning the bear trend is strengthening. Then… pic.twitter.com/UDla64YuS1
Many traders still expect a reversal. They watch support zones between $65,000 and $66,000. They argue these areas may produce a short-term bounce. Others look for signs of renewed inflows into spot ETFs to support price stabilization.
Market sentiment remains weak. Fear indicators sit near multi-month lows. Outflows from ETFs continue. Several bullish voices, however, insist that the broader cycle remains intact. They see the latest weakness as temporary rather than structural.
Also Read: Strategy Buys 2,486 BTC for $168M, Holdings Reach 717,131 BTC
Bitcoin is trading at $67,000 at the time of writing. The trading volume reached $32.15 billion. The asset rose 0.47% in 24 hours and gained 0.35% over the last week. Price performance remains negative for the year.

Source: CoinMarketCap
Analyst Breaks Down Bitcoin’s Three-Stage Bear Market Model
Woo expanded on his outlook in a detailed thread. He described a three-phase structure that often appears during Bitcoin downturns. The first phase begins when liquidity breaks. Early selling by informed participants then accelerates a sustained downtrend.
The second phase appears when global equities weaken. Woo said this stage moves slowly but creates broad pressure across all risk assets. He explained that this event confirms a full bear cycle across major markets.
I find it useful to frame BTC bear markets in 3 phases:
— Willy Woo (@willywoo) February 18, 2026
Phase 1 – The start, where BTC liquidity has already broken down (this happened Q3 2025) and price begins to follow downwards. BTC is a small asset so it's hyper sensitive to liquidity. Because of this, it tends to lead…
The final phase is when liquidity returns. During this time, outflows are stable, and market exhaustion emerges. According to Woo, this phase is when capitulation occurs. However, buying begins.
It is the end of phase one, according to Woo. He stated that the market is moving to phase two. However, he also warned that the coming months might cause more pressure in the market due to worsening global assets.
The price of bitcoin is still being held back by weak sentiment and low demand. However, traders are waiting for clearer signs while volatility increases.
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